Bunch of thoughts. Going to divide them by player. To start with:
Equitia. He's the only person I know 100% isn't scum right now.
Waffle/Espeon
Neither of these people has said anything yet, therefore I have nothing on them. I'd really like them to speak, though.
Windskull
They've contributed, but I don't really have any thoughts or opinions about them.
DawningWinds
They were really pro-lynch last time too, so they're doing nothing out of character. Could they be mafia? I guess. The only thing that caught my attention was their asking me why I originally chose Del.
Can you explain what about Del and Persephone you find/found suspicious?
And that puts her above other inactives, why?
To restate:
Del was mostly random. I took the player list, removed some bc I played with them before, and chose randomly from the remainder. I've always maintained I didn't choose Del for any particular reason. More than that, Del didn't post until after I went to bed last night. Therefore, the only feasible way I could be suspicious of her would be if I had a role I used on her N0. This comes off a bit like mafia role-hunting. Not so much that I'll pursue today, but I'd like some explanation on why you pursued that line of inquiry.
I don't find Persephone suspicious for for the Random Voting Thing specifically, but I like Equitia's other points about Persephone and found her suspicious for that. And I don't think Equitia was suggesting we kill off a third of the game, just that only a third of the player should vote (which I don't agree with, because everyone's thoughts are important and I usually see not voting at the end of the day as suspicious).
I meant that I would have liked about a third of the players to be targeted for lynching. I was and am fine with all players voting (though I'm more pro-lynch than I was at the start).
Also all the acronyms aren’t helping me feel any less in over my head. Like, what does CWAC mean? Google tells me it’s the Canadian Women’s Army Corps, but I don’t think that’s what it means in this context.
I've also been confused and had to look up what your terms and acronyms meant. I don't think most of us here know mafia lingo, so you might want to avoid those to avoid confusion.
Phantump
Equital: Impressively bloodthirsty. Between Choshi/Tanuki, Pers and Del, has fired shots at more people than we have suspected Mafia players. I’ll take Dawning and Windskull’s words for it making some degree of sense, but would otherwise be my number one choice for the person who wants to kill everyone.
1. I'm tickled to be described as "impressively bloodthirsty".
2. As has been stated, I had not targetted Choshi/Tanuki at the time of your post. Except now I have so...
3. Targetting someone D1 is very common strategy and not indicative of someone being scum. It hasn't happened much on TR, but for example here is a game with early D1 votes:
https://forums.dragonflycave.com/threads/animal-crossing-new-horizons-mafia.18698/ (You can also look at other games on that forum.)
In general, D1 lynching is seen as a good strategy. It's very important for collecting information, which was in fact my main intention when I originally chose Del. I don't think I'm experienced enough with mafia to go in-depth as to why it's usually a good idea, but here's a good discussion about it:
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=21947
4. I do
not want to kill a third of the cast. (Only one person can be voted off anyway.) I'm just putting pressure on people and seeing what happens. In the end, I'll go with my best guess as to who is scum. I don't want to hit an innocent -- I want to suss out the mafia.
Anyway, Phantump just comes off as inexperienced to me. No feelings one way or the other.
Persephone
Yeah, I slept on it and I really like her explanation. Something else to consider is that she had some very tough luck last game and got voted off early. It's possible that she reacted at the prospect of being voted off again and that also increased her hostility.
I also want to specifically ask @Tanuki and @Shiny Phantump how they feel about Equita and DawningWind's thoughts. I think their logic for voting for Persephone is sound. But... Idk, the way she's playing this time doesn't remind me much of the previous game where she was mafia.
Persephone's first posts read to me like she
could be mafia again, but her follow-up explanation changed my mind. Idk, you also have to consider she didn't get too far last game because of her aforementioned bad luck. I'm no longer confident voting for her, though. I'll keep my eye on her, but I feel good moving on.
Del
Del: From what I’ve heard, she has other things on her mind right now. Killing her for not immediately throwing herself into Mafia seems like a shitty thing to do. This is the one thing I can say I will not do. If it is, for whatever reason, strategic to kill someone inactive, I’d much rather pick someone else.
Yes, I'm willing to cut her some slack because she mentioned she had irl things. Remember however that
I did not target her because she was inactive. It was mostly random.
Something else that inclines me to think she's not mafia (or she and Perse aren't mafia together) is that she voted for Tanuki, who was Persephone's pick. If they were mafia together, I would suspect them to distance themselves after Perse originally defended her. Them being the scum was a longshot anyway, but to keep in mind.
Fusion
I just noticed this before you posted, and definitely worth noting. I don't like CWAC (or when most of a player's posts are pure fluff I'm not really sure which applies to Fusion). It's useless and hurts town. And is really commonly used by Mafia.
I pointed out that Fusion's posts were fluffy, but I think that's because he's inexperienced, not scum. From what I've seen from him on Discord, little comments and jokes aren't out of character for him. I have nothing suggesting he's innocent, but I don't think his posts implicate him.
Despite not knowing anyone else, Kora felt Kekoa and Ashwood probably weren't acting like themselves.
Persephone and myself are scum? Interesting theory. Anyway, to restate:
lynching Day 1 is not a scum strat. Read the links I gave Phantump to see why. Anyway, I encourage you to vote for someone. Me or Persephone or someone else.
Tanuki
When I realized I liked Perse's explanation, I also figured I would go ahead and target Tanuki. Didn't particularly think he was mafia; I just wanted to see what would happened. Coming back to the thread in the morning though, I realized I didn't like his logic. See here:
Y’all are basically assuming the mafia are idiots with this strategy. The first thing a mafia would do when their own gets questioned is make it look like they’re not affiliated.
Okay, so we're underestimating the mafia. But Tanuki goes along to suggest this possible strat if I get nightkilled:
Like if Equita (I think they threw the first stone at Perse) dirs tonight, it’d be reasonable to think mafia went for someone suspicious of one of there own.
How is hypothetical mafia move less obvious than the other?
Also, in the possibility that I get nightkilled, why would the rest of you be able to try to guess the Mafia's motivation?
Because I threw votes at people. Tanuki said:
OOC: wagons don’t tell us anything because nobody has anything to be suspicious of anyone for yet. Anybody could jump to vote anyone for any reason.
But obviously not! Even people in the no-lynch group are forming suspicions based on the accusations going around! We're getting info with these discussions, much more than if we just decided to go no-lynch! As DawningWinds said, throwing around votes is much better than discussing whether to lynch or not because voting forces the mafia out into the open.
Tanuki, can you explain
why we don't get info from D1 bandwagons, but we would from a night kill? Also, you proposed no-lynch right off the bat, for the game's first post. How would you have analyzed the night kill if the consensus went immediately to not doing anything today?
Is Tanuki scum? Not sure. I'd like to put some pressure on him though.