Seventh Anniversary Mafia

[aer]

"Ugh, well. It sounds like it's coming down to one or the other. If it's not the horse, it has to be the clothghost. Do I think I'm talking to a townie or the demon? I shouldn't have ignored my results. Okay."
Vote Madeline @Inkedust

 

[HelloYellow17]

“If Madeline’s evil instead, then the mafia has to have left Elgyem alone N1 and poisoned Morgan instead, then poisoned Elgyem N2, then once again left Elgyem alone N3 and poisoned Morgan. And they’d have to have poisoned Morgan N3, because if the poisoner were dead, then Morgan’s unpoisoned result from N2 where Spectrier isn’t Demon contradicts her also unpoisoned result from N3 where either Elgyem or Spectrier is Demon, because in this scenario we’re assuming Elgyem is legit. I still don’t know why they would do this, if Madeline is Demon and they could easily have stopped letting Elgyem continue to get more incriminating reads on her.

[[This might be a stupid question but couldn’t this easily be explained by Morgan or Elgyem being Drunk? And the other poisoned on some nights nights? I’ve been operating on the assumption that I’ve been the Drunk all along, but I could have been poisoned N0 instead. Granted idk why anyone would target me first over more skilled players, but on the first night I could see scum just choosing randomly, since there’s no info for potential roles to go off of.

Have I mentioned how much I despise Drunk AND poisoning being a thing in the same game? Because I do. SO MUCH. ]]

 

[JFought]

"Hey this guys sounds suspicious to me! He's been watching us? We gotta get rid of him!"

Oscar turned his head up. "Spoken like a criminal! I find it is rather common for malefactors to shrink in my presence!"

It was either that, or more likely, instinctual intimidation. But the great detective was a 'mon of class, who would never give in to their baser impulses. The rattata had nothing to fear. Because I told myself I'd stop chasing smaller 'mon a long time ago. I don't think I snapped at him...

I can't figure out any reason scum!Chibi would be so willing to give up today other than their actual remaining scum partner is Phan and because we're all looking at Perse or aer, it's kind of a shoe in to get to EoL tomorrow.

[[The way I'm choosing to see it is, if Chibi is evil, you're not the demon, and so dying now buys time. In this scenario, whether it's today or tomorrow, the numbers work out so that town only has one chance to eliminate the demon correctly or they lose, and if you push to not vote for you, then you risk town choosing correctly on who the demon is today and losing the game. That risk still exists tomorrow, but buying time allows mafia to try and coordinate in the night to win the game D5, rather than being uncoordinated today, and so arguably, sacrificing yourself is less risky.

It's kind of hopium on my part but it makes sense. Basically every chance evil!Chibi had to argue their innocence has been stripped away from them, I'm not sure what else they could play that wouldn't involve some element of risk.]]

"My conscience is clear! According to my deductions, I am completely certain that the horses must be evil!"

Vote Spectrier @Inkedust

 

[Inkedust]

9 hours remain in the day.

Spoiler: Current Vote Tally

Spectrier: 4

- Spectrier (Chibi Pika)​

- Morgan (Shiny Phantump)​

- Rocky (Panoramic_Vacuum)​

- Oscar (JFought)​

​

Elgyem: 1

- Madeline (Persephone)​

​

Madeline: 1

- Elgyem (aer)​

Spoiler: Remaining Ghost Votes

- Watt (windskull)​

- Rui (HelloYellow17)​

- Dave (Dragonfree)​

- Malachai (unrepentantAuthor)​

- Odette (Sinderella)​

 

[unrepentantAuthor]

[[neat. i'm gonna crash and hope this doesn't simply unravel overnight.]]

 

[Panoramic_Vacuum]

[[This might be a stupid question but couldn’t this easily be explained by Morgan or Elgyem being Drunk? And the other poisoned on some nights nights? I’ve been operating on the assumption that I’ve been the Drunk all along, but I could have been poisoned N0 instead. Granted idk why anyone would target me first over more skilled players, but on the first night I could see scum just choosing randomly, since there’s no info for potential roles to go off of.

Have I mentioned how much I despise Drunk AND poisoning being a thing in the same game? Because I do. SO MUCH. ]]

"Mmmm, no no no no. Rocky ran scenarios where information roles were Drunk or Lying, and the way game play out, if you were Poisoned, then Spectrier must be Bad guy or is unreliable. Either way, is good to eliminate Spectrier at that point."

"Example. Your information no good, unreliable. Spectrier say you are Drunk. If you Poisoned instead, they would only get that result if they were Drunk or lying. If they were Drunk, they also got Malachai's claimed role correct. Drunk can get correct information, because flashcards say bastard information in play. But more likely Spectrier lying at that point."

He sunk a little. "Rocky agree, though. Do not like how much unreliable information is in game, and not just affected by player role, either."

 

[Chibi Pika]

"I wish my ability had been more useful. I hope this helps everyone find the demon..."

"Let it not be said that I do not honor my word. I doubt Noivern would have been so willing to fulfill the pact had I been the first to die between us."

 

[Shiny Phantump]

Morgan giggled to herself. "Great, glad we've reached the point of collective insanity where we're not just heavily scrutinizing each other's actual or possible actions, but also writing alternate universe fan-fiction about each other and scrutinizing each other's hypothetical in timelines that never came to pass. Love that for us~"

if Madeline is Demon and they could easily have stopped letting Elgyem continue to get more incriminating reads on her.

[[I don't think this is that implausible? Killing Elegym would stop further reads but also strongly suggest they're town which locks in an anti-Maddie narrative, while this way you can call Elegym's alignment into question— It'd be working out decently well for them based on the current town sentiment, I think. Idk I'd love to get to say Perse is town and got a break from being forever scum but I'm not sure we can lock that in yet.]]

 

[HelloYellow17]

"Example. Your information no good, unreliable. Spectrier say you are Drunk. If you Poisoned instead, they would only get that result if they were Drunk or lying. If they were Drunk, they also got Malachai's claimed role correct. Drunk can get correct information, because flashcards say bastard information in play. But more likely Spectrier lying at that point."

Rui straightened up. “Oh! That makes sense! Thanks for explaining!” She fidgeted and nudged at the grass with her paw, only for it to pass through completely. Eugh. She was not a fan of having to adjust to a Pokémon body on top of being turned into a ghost. “That was probably obvious to everyone else. Maybe being Drunk is more literal than I thought! Haha…”

Gods, what a stupid joke. She let her laugh fizzle out into awkward silence and hoped nobody had the psychic ability to hear her internal shrieks of embarrassment.

[[Fr though thank you for spelling it out lol, brain is not firing on all cylinders rn haha]]

 

[Dragonfree]

[[Perks of being in Spain: realizing when I get up that it's not actually mafia EoD yet]]

[[This might be a stupid question but couldn’t this easily be explained by Morgan or Elgyem being Drunk? And the other poisoned on some nights nights? I’ve been operating on the assumption that I’ve been the Drunk all along, but I could have been poisoned N0 instead. Granted idk why anyone would target me first over more skilled players, but on the first night I could see scum just choosing randomly, since there’s no info for potential roles to go off of.

Have I mentioned how much I despise Drunk AND poisoning being a thing in the same game? Because I do. SO MUCH. ]]

"Well, in the Elgyem is mafia scenario obviously Elgyem was neither Drunk or poisoned at any point. Morgan could be Drunk, but that has basically the same relevance as Morgan being poisoned every night. Either way Morgan's results can't be trusted at all

"In the Madeline is mafia scenario, suppose Morgan is Drunk. Then Elgyem still seems to have been poisoned on N2 but not N1 or N3. Unless..." He squeezed his eyes shut with an exasperated groan. "Unless a poison victim might be correct at random, so even poisoned Elgyem still correctly finds Madeline as mafia sometimes. Oh my God. I guess. Nothing means anything. Okay. Game master voice, can you get over here and clarify? Can someone who's poisoned give a correct result?"

[[I don't think this is that implausible? Killing Elegym would stop further reads but also strongly suggest they're town which locks in an anti-Maddie narrative, while this way you can call Elegym's alignment into question— It'd be working out decently well for them based on the current town sentiment, I think. Idk I'd love to get to say Perse is town and got a break from being forever scum but I'm not sure we can lock that in yet.]]

"I didn't mean killing Elgyem, I meant poisoning Elgyem. Nobody trusted your results at face value anyway when you were so likely to be poisoned and your results harder to compare day to day, while Elgyem was always going to get results on Madeline; why keep letting Madeline get redchecked? It's pretty fucking conspicuous when she gets checked repeatedly. But, of course, if Elgyem will just redcheck Madeline half the time anyway when poisoned, then all of that goes out the window and no information means anything. God."

 

[Inkedust]

Okay. Game master voice, can you get over here and clarify? Can someone who's poisoned give a correct result?"

Yes, it is possible for a Poisoned/Drunk player to land on a correct result.

 

[Inkedust]

For a fair amount of the day, Zevya appeared to be rather distracted. The squirtle has appeared to pull her aside to speak of a private matter and when they walked around the branches, Hareta was gone and the herdier, Oscar had taken his place. Not that she'd missed much anyway. Discussion appeared to be more focused on what would happen the next day as it appeared that everyone intended to remain true to their promise of clearing the right side of the field once and for all.

Votes were cast swiftly, and decisively. The horse even seemed to accept their fate, placing a vote on themselves with a frigid decisiveness. Too late to change their mind now.

While the emera was being shattered, Zevya took a quick headcount and clicked her tongue. "Looks like it's getting down to the wire." She rolled her shoulders and looked up at the sky – shining leaves that sparkled like the stars on a clear night. She smiled. "Could go either way, so think long and hard about what you wanna do tomorrow before bed, yeah?"

With a grin and a wave, the zoroark vanished into the darkness.

Spectrier (Chibi Pika) was Eliminated
and...

THE GAME CONTINUES​

Spoiler: Final Vote Tally

Spectrier: 4

- Spectrier (Chibi Pika)​

- Rocky (Panoramic_Vacuum)​

- Morgan (Shiny Phantump)​

- Oscar (JFought)​

Elgyem: 1

- Madeline (Persephone)​

Madeline: 1

- Elgyem (aer)​

Spoiler: Remaining Ghost Votes

- Watt (windskull)​

- Rui (HelloYellow17)​

- Dave (Dragonfree)​

- Malachai (unrepentantAuthor)​

- Odette (Sinderella)​

---

NIGHT FOUR HAS BEGUN​

Countdown to Day 5​