“I agree that she’s weird, but I don’t know if that’s enough to vote for her,” he said. “If she’s innocent, and one of us dies—or…disappears, or whatever—in the night, then we’re down two allies the next day. I’m willing to bet that there’s two killers—mafia—in our group. If that’s true, then we can’t afford to make many mistakes.”
[[We're down one ally
anyway, unless we get lucky with our Doctor. Good game balance means having multiple chances to miseliminate.]]
"You could very well lose a potential useful role or innocent if you're just gonna vote people willy-nilly since there's only what? Eight, nine of us around? If I die and I'm innocent – which I am – then whoopsie-doo, higher chance of losing to Mafia."
[[We can't wait for 'proof' of alignment, or Mafia win. You could be either Town or Mafia, and if you're Mafia, our odds of winning drastically improve far more than they'd worsen if you're Town.]]
"Already? Nothing's even happened yet."
[[Nothing
can happen this early except this. This is the only way to force Mafia players to leave written evidence of their agenda for future day phases.]]
Blue-Cat's eagerness to make accusations all the time made him uneasy. Then again, they did need information. As long as they didn't needlessly eliminate anyone.... Especially since there were so few people to ebgin with, compared to that one other game he'd been in. A misvote could be horribly risky.
[[We haven't made any accusations, actually! Let alone 'all the time'. We've voted arbitrarily as a strategem, not because we have a theory Jennifer/Shini is scum.]]
Fry agreed. He was curious as to why Blue-Cat suspected that strange lady - after all, ntohing was as it seemed in these games. Sometimes nasty people were on the good side and kind people on the bad. Even nice people with white hair... He sure hoped the White Hair human wasn't involved.
But then, he also didn't trust anyone. Mean lady was as good or bad a guess as anyone. Some strange sixth sense in his head, his Tetra-sense, said that voting off bat was how some players usually operated. Which seemed normal. But who then? There wasn't enough information, enough hadn't happened yet. But he simply could not condone the murder of someone based on vibes... that would not be rootin, tootin or kind. It would just be shootin'
Did Blue-Cat (@unrepentantAuthor ) have any elaborations?
[[historically we always vote Day 1 and a lot of times its fellow townie we kill. I not questioning so much why you voted someone, since we've been over this before, but if you plan to leave your vote, and why you want to leave it. Tbh I never vibed hard with the idea of voting someone Day 1 I guess, esp in a small game.
At this point, I haven't got any solid vibe reads from anyone yet, just thoughts that aren't strong enough to make me want to have a solid vote... But jackies play seeeems to align with their usual style. Not sure yet if thats scum playing townie or townie just being townie though]]
[[Too early for vibes! Anyway, I've come to believe that pressure-voting doesn't provide any information unless you hold it long enough to force No-Elimination counter-votes, or get an alignment flip.]]
"In a game this small there probably aren't more than two mafia at most, right? That means a three in four chance of hitting a townie if we kill someone today, and the mafia will probably kill someone tonight. Then all they need is a myslynch and a night to win. We can't just recklessly kill people."
[[The most likely setup has two mafia. For there to be three, there would need to be other oddities such as surplus bulletproof townies and/or tragic lovers or something, which is also possible. In any case, it's not particularly likely that the Mafia will get four straight kills over four phases without a single successful elimination, cop ping, doctor save, or bulletproof hit. This is fine.]]
